Your captain, priced by the market.
Every FPL captaincy tool leans on last season’s numbers, recent form, and a difficulty rating out of five. The sharpest read on this weekend already exists — it is sitting in the match prices.
topb.in takes a handful of prices per fixture, strips out the margin, and fits a goal model to what remains. Out come each team’s expected goals and each side’s clean-sheet probability — forward-looking, updated by everything the market knows, including the team news you haven’t read yet. A projection layer turns that into expected FPL points for every realistic captain, and ranks them.
One honest caveat, kept everywhere on this site: the model re-expresses what the market thinks. It does not beat it, and does not claim to. In FPL you are not competing with the market — you are competing with people picking on gut and groupthink. A market-sharp read is enough.
New to the idea? Start with why the market picks a better captain than form does, or the plain-English captaincy guide.